Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 518.776924 551.670627 585.854055 624.090198 665.738735 709.808837 760.071540
2026-01-04 473.876717 518.814032 567.375539 623.965053 688.364514 759.683995 845.074262
2026-01-11 445.698168 498.365712 556.930568 627.288676 710.059621 805.009917 923.141881
2026-01-18 422.347787 480.258095 546.145305 627.286060 725.392617 841.305764 990.319163
2026-01-25 406.139906 468.624212 541.154223 632.455284 745.588365 882.885216 1064.800173
2026-02-01 392.846350 459.193286 537.593949 638.251815 765.795842 924.451100 1140.685080
2026-02-08 381.833051 451.599351 535.394090 644.950302 786.683869 967.134506 1219.787321
2026-02-15 369.417453 441.451202 529.220890 645.844097 799.561115 999.438519 1286.302829
2026-02-22 358.041936 431.926452 523.148474 646.188868 811.217184 1030.116084 1351.794548
2026-03-01 348.924218 424.740967 519.538830 649.261294 826.223584 1065.575943 1425.651524
2026-03-08 338.787043 415.745690 513.069935 647.999858 834.929249 1092.338972 1488.108863
2026-03-15 330.236893 408.407407 508.350667 648.675657 846.029766 1122.634442 1557.230986
2026-03-22 321.798134 400.901942 503.093223 648.318544 855.544494 1150.998185 1625.166487
2026-03-29 313.966263 393.879810 498.142270 648.035595 864.930650 1179.356121 1694.595141
2026-04-05 308.037746 389.153480 496.041787 651.520194 879.720123 1216.230474 1779.703226
2026-04-12 301.242365 382.991936 491.694803 651.516533 889.185353 1245.257461 1853.686983
2026-04-19 296.734352 379.766516 491.224780 656.954844 906.850494 1287.619956 1952.599509
2026-04-26 292.702896 377.031484 491.281625 663.054102 925.635300 1332.526612 2058.905905
2026-05-03 289.196855 374.882096 492.031720 670.103621 946.055537 1380.952551 2174.817365
2026-05-10 283.935882 370.093463 488.826505 671.044352 956.835728 1414.041868 2265.457582
2026-05-17 278.758848 365.258092 485.369032 671.407233 966.597264 1445.772772 2355.756118
2026-05-24 274.693862 361.872654 483.872983 674.641204 981.001981 1485.936673 2464.848247
2026-05-31 269.475420 356.679874 479.555437 673.313411 987.823728 1513.299553 2551.220747